2012
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Mango 4 Office Technology
Hi Dave, another spectacular day on Saturday, thanks mate. Keep up the good work. Your tips have given me
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Steve P, VIC
Some Olympic insights
By. David Duffield
ike millions of other Australians I've been glued
The same applies to racing - Might And Power,
to the box over the last two weeks watching
Viewed or Dunaden winning Melbourne Cups by the
L many of the greatest athletes in the world barest possible margin doesn't detract from their
compete at the Olympics. Hopefully you've been
wins whatsoever.
enjoying it as well and I also hope if you've been
backing the Aussies that you are an each-way
Trainers should train smarter
punter.
The Olympics has become a sports science and
While watching the world's biggest sporting event
information technology arms race with countries like
it's hard not to switch back to a betting perspective
Great Britain and China leading the way and
and look at both the similarities and differences
getting results that validate their efforts.
compared to the sport of kings.
Horse racing is very different though and I can't
Here are a few of my thoughts:
help but think that many trainers still operate much
like they did 10 or 20 years ago. I'm aware of
Champions rise to the occasion on the big day
small incremental improvements but there is a real
opportunity for great advances in the use of
Following a defeat in the Jamaican national trials,
technology, sports science, nutrition, race planning
Usain Bolt had his doubters before the race and
and more.
actually started at pretty enticing odds. But he had
timed his preparation to perfection and scored a
Jockeys need to train their mind as much as their
dominant win in the race he really wanted.
body
Some horses are set for one race only and
There are many sports psychologists employed by
everything in their lead-up is about having them at
the various Olympic teams because they understand
their absolute peak on that day. Clearly Bart
the importance of mental preparation and the effect
Cummings has been a master at this over many
of the mind on raceday performance.
years.
Jockeys have to make split-second decisions often
It's all about performing the best on the day, not
under immense pressure but I'm not aware of many
who is (potentially or historically) the best in the
who get proper training in this area. All elite level
race. Many current world champions like James
sporting teams such as those in the AFL and NRL
Magnussen were hot favourites based on the best
have sports psychologists either on staff or on
form coming into a race, but the only thing that
contract, but most jockeys don't seem as open-
really matters is who performs best on the day.
minded to improving their performance above the
shoulders.
They don't pay on margins
Go the mighty mare
Speaking of the missile, many events have been
decided by 1/100 of a second but when we're
Michael Phelps will go down as the greatest ever
looking back the margin doesn't really matter. The
Olympian despite losing a few races along the way.
winner gets the same gold medal as a totally
It just reaffirms my strong desire for the connections
dominant victor.
of Black Caviar to continue her racing career. I don't
buy into the `she has to stay unbeaten' story because
she's already proven her greatness and nothing can
detract from what she's already achieved. She's a
aerodynamics. Lesser athletes can slipstream just
racehorse so (injuries permitting) let her race.
behind the leader and expend a lot less energy.
Specialist distances
Sometimes a horse can get the perfect run with
cover, win well and start very short next time out.
Athletes have a `sweet spot' for their preferred
But without the same easy run next start they can
distance just like horses. You wouldn't think there'd
struggle.
be a huge difference between someone running for
10 seconds or 20 seconds, but these events often
Short sprints
have quite different fields and winners. That will
change this year with Usain Bolt, but he's a genuine
Many casual observers would struggle to understand
exception.
why Anna Meares didn't want to just take off and
try to get away from her great rival Victoria
Horses have their pet distances too. Punters tend to
Pendleton in the sprint. Instead she slowed the race
under-estimate the difference between a 1000m
basically to a standstill and Pendleton was the first
race and a 1200m for example, or a 1400m and a
to crack by taking off early. Meares came over the
1600m, and this can lead to some value winners.
top of her with a short, sharp sprint to win gold.
Champions need longevity
Just like athletes, horses only have short sprints so
when a jockey `goes for home' a long way out it isn't
Sustained excellence is the hallmark of champion. It
surprising that the horse really gets the staggers
takes a special athlete to win a gold medal, but
late. This horse may look a bit weak at first glance,
those that repeat their success at two or more
but watch the replay to see whether its sprint came
Olympiads really separate themselves from the rest.
to an end early.
Occasionally a horse gets hailed a champion thanks
10,000 hour rule applies
to one really good year, but that status should be
reserved for those that can back up over two or
We have spoken before about author Malcolm
more racing seasons.
Gladwell's belief that it takes 10,000 hours of work
to master any discipline. He argues that hard work
Fastest horse wins
rather than pure talent is the secret to success and
Doing the form for most of the Olympic events
this was borne out at the Olympics too. Talent gets
required a very close analysis of the recent and
you there, but to win you must have put in thousands
career best times recorded by the athletes.
of hours of work perfecting your skills.
But the average Australian racing punter seriously
I can't think of any champion trainers, jockeys or
under-estimates the importance of times. Yes there
horses that are lazy and don't put in the work. It
are many vagaries in Australian racing tracks so you
doesn't really matter what field of endeavour we're
need to do some work in establishing par times and
talking about, success comes to those who dedicate
assessing sectional times, but the indisputable fact is
themselves and put in the required effort.
that the fastest horse on the day wins so you should
The same applies to betting. In order to succeed as
really spend a lot of time trying to find out who that
a serious punter you need to put in many hours to
is likely to be.
develop your approach and fine-tune your winning
Get cover
edge.
Leading all the way is very difficult. Whether it was
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the running events or cycling there was a real
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understanding that whoever was leading was
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working much harder than those behind due to
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re you a sports lover? What's your
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Simple, Useful, and
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Free Horse Racing
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Tips
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f you're just started betting on horse
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racing events, you most likely would
I
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the names from the horses you will bet on in
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